Voting Green?
Since commenters at LP seemingly never tire of threads about Greens preferences and inner-city Labor v. Green stoushes, I thought I should link to my latest on the role of The Greens at Pineapple Party...
View ArticleGreens preferences allocated, Labor in deep trouble
Negotiations have been finalised between Labor and The Greens for preferences in the Queensland election. The Greens are directing preferences to Labor in fourteen seats, while receiving preferences in...
View ArticleCampaign commentary live! II
I’ll be on 4zzz’s Brisbane Line program (starting at midday Brisbane time) talking about the Queensland campaign with a focus on The Greens’ preferences decision.
View ArticleWhy Labor may lose the 2010 federal election
This weekend’s seen the latest installment in the ‘media narrative’; demands in The Australian for either a Labor leadership change or a quick cave-in by Kevin Rudd to the mining industry on the RSPT...
View ArticleEssential Research: A pox on both your houses (and on the media)
In comments on Mr Denmore’s guest post on the interpretation of polls (particularly Newspoll) through the self-referential lens of the ‘media narrative’, I wrote: All quantitative polling tells you...
View ArticlePolls, preferences and the Penrith by-election: Watch this space
One indicator for the question that’s occupying many minds about the likely distribution of preferences from The Greens in a situation where their primary vote increases considerably will be the final...
View ArticleGuest post by William Bowe: Brisbane election preview 2010
William Bowe of The Poll Bludger wrote this piece for Crikey today, which we’re republishing with permission. This article is part of a weekly feature in the lead up to the 2010 federal election, and...
View ArticleRudd's chances, the Gillard bounce and the blogosphere conversation
As an update to my link post yesterday, I thought it worthwhile drawing folks’ attention to Possum’s latest installment of pseph-y goodness. Of interest, aside from quantifying the increase in Labor’s...
View ArticleSenate group preference tickets released by AEC
The AEC has released the Senate group preference tickets online. For those who might not be aware of how this works, if you vote “above the line” (that is, if you put a 1 in one of the parties’ or...
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